“Those that fail to learn from history, are doomed to repeat it.”
– Winston Churchill
Mutual assured destruction – Severe, unavoidable reciprocal damage that superpowers are likely to inflict on each other or their allies in a nuclear war, conceived as the heart of a doctrine of nuclear deterrence. U.S. Military Dictionary
Iran — the next great threat
by: Joe Leonardi
Iran remains on the move toward becoming a nuclear power. What should we, the United States, do about it?
I don’t think I am speaking out of turn by stating that Iran must not be allowed to develop nuclear weapons. They have a history of anti-west, specifically anti-United States, sentiments. They are a state sponsor of terrorists. Iran is currently led by a president who openly calls for the destruction of Israel. What choices do we have?
How did we get here?
That, will take more than a one or two word answer.
The blowback effect is one of the important concepts overlooked by those who discuss geopolitics. Blowback is a metaphor for the unintended consequences of the U.S. government’s international activities.
In one of the debates Ron Paul actually attempted to discuss it. However, an arrogant and condescending Rudy Giuliani glibly and erroneously shot him down. In that solitary moment, the former Mayor demonstrated his lack of global political comprehension and exhibited that he is not ready to govern a world power.
Understand, I am not stating, by any stretch of the imagination, that we deserved what happened to us on September 11th. The attacks on 9/11 were acts of pure cowardice. Acts of evil perpetrated by fanatics who have zero respect for human life.
Yet, when making decisions, we can not negate the strength of insightful reflection and thoughtful foresight. We presently need someone in office who understands that actions today have consequences tomorrow. In President Bush we do not have that person. This president has no sense of history nor future. He has a very narrow world view, and he sees issues only in present, constant absolutes.
After September 11th the world was at our side. It was an unprecedented opportunity to unite the globe. An opportunity demonstrated by the fact that Iran, our enemy since the Carter Administration, aided us in our Afghanistan campaign.
Then in 2002 George W. Bush squandered all the goodwill the United States garnered. In what had to be, in my opinion, one of the dumbest diatribes a United States President has ever given — George W. Bush lashed out at our most recent ally and grouped Iran in the infamous “axis of evil.”
Commentators, politicians, pundits and many others have forgotten that prior to that silly, simplistic speech, Iran was in the process of a pro-west, moderate movement. So much so that Iranian assistance helped us make short work of the Taliban. However, in one stupid, sanctimonious sentence George W. Bush destroyed years of moderate Iranian reformation.
Next, in 2003, our brilliantly blundering President compounded the situation by attacking the one “axis” country least capable of developing nuclear weapons. If I were the leader of another country named in the axis of evil and I was developing nuclear weapons, I most definitely would have stepped up the process. That is exactly what both North Korea and Iran did.
In 2005 the moderate leadership in Iran was replaced by hard liner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. In response to a perceived threat from the United States, Ahmadinejad accelerated Iran’s movement into the nuclear age. If they develop an atomic bomb, the nuclear nightmare we feared throughout the cold war may be realized.
I do not like to throw the Hitler analogy out there, but Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may very well be today’s Adolf Hitler. U.S. Mideast policy is responsible for his rise and we need to be sure he does not act on his stated ambitions.
There are some disturbing parallels between these two men. Parallels that should not, that must not be overlooked.
Both had taken a similar path to power. When Hitler first ascended he was not in charge. It was the intent of those that appointed him, through von Hindenburg, to keep him in check. Ahmadinejad is not in control, the Supreme Leader, the Ayatollah is the ruler.
Hitler used the treaty of Versailles to rally the German people. Ahmadinejad is using the U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq to rally his.
Hitler allied himself with charismatic, fascist leader Benito Mussolini. Ahmadinejad is allying himself with charismatic, socialist leader Hugo Chavez.
Hitler initially reached out to Russia. Ahmadinejad is reaching out to Russia.
Adolf Hitler held, and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad holds the view that Jews are an encroaching, expendable race. Hitler, in his book Mein Kampf, wrote of his hatred, racism and bigotry. Utilizing the final solution, he conceived and carried out the extermination of many Jews. Ahmadinejad has many times called for the elimination of Israel, the Jewish state, as the solution to the Mideast crisis.
Many in the English-speaking world attempted to appease Hitler so they would have had “peace in their time.” Many in the English-speaking world are calling for diplomacy to maintain peace with Ahmadinejad.
It would appear that Ahmadinejad has studied, and is following, Hitler’s path to power.
George W. Bush, as the WWI victor’s at Versailles brought about Hitler, has caused the emergence of Ahmadinejad.
We must keep a watchful eye on Iran and be ready, if necessary, to use overwhelming, precise and decisive disabling strikes. If we don’t, we could bear witness to a nuclear weapon falling into the hands of an enemy that will not be deterred by, but actually welcome, “mutually assured destruction.”