Iran — the next great threat

“Those that fail to learn from history, are doomed to repeat it.”
– Winston Churchill

Mutual assured destruction – Severe, unavoidable reciprocal damage that superpowers are likely to inflict on each other or their allies in a nuclear war, conceived as the heart of a doctrine of nuclear deterrence. U.S. Military Dictionary

Iran — the next great threat
by: Joe Leonardi

Iran remains on the move toward becoming a nuclear power. What should we, the United States, do about it?

Prevent it!

I don’t think I am speaking out of turn by stating that Iran must not be allowed to develop nuclear weapons. They have a history of anti-west, specifically anti-United States, sentiments. They are a state sponsor of terrorists. Iran is currently led by a president who openly calls for the destruction of Israel. What choices do we have?

None.

How did we get here?

That, will take more than a one or two word answer.

The blowback effect is one of the important concepts overlooked by those who discuss geopolitics. Blowback is a metaphor for the unintended consequences of the U.S. government’s international activities.

In one of the debates Ron Paul actually attempted to discuss it. However, an arrogant and condescending Rudy Giuliani glibly and erroneously shot him down. In that solitary moment, the former Mayor demonstrated his lack of global political comprehension and exhibited that he is not ready to govern a world power.

Understand, I am not stating, by any stretch of the imagination, that we deserved what happened to us on September 11th. The attacks on 9/11 were acts of pure cowardice. Acts of evil perpetrated by fanatics who have zero respect for human life.

Yet, when making decisions, we can not negate the strength of insightful reflection and thoughtful foresight. We presently need someone in office who understands that actions today have consequences tomorrow. In President Bush we do not have that person. This president has no sense of history nor future. He has a very narrow world view, and he sees issues only in present, constant absolutes.

After September 11th the world was at our side. It was an unprecedented opportunity to unite the globe. An opportunity demonstrated by the fact that Iran, our enemy since the Carter Administration, aided us in our Afghanistan campaign.

Then in 2002 George W. Bush squandered all the goodwill the United States garnered. In what had to be, in my opinion, one of the dumbest diatribes a United States President has ever given — George W. Bush lashed out at our most recent ally and grouped Iran in the infamous “axis of evil.”

Commentators, politicians, pundits and many others have forgotten that prior to that silly, simplistic speech, Iran was in the process of a pro-west, moderate movement. So much so that Iranian assistance helped us make short work of the Taliban. However, in one stupid, sanctimonious sentence George W. Bush destroyed years of moderate Iranian reformation.

Next, in 2003, our brilliantly blundering President compounded the situation by attacking the one “axis” country least capable of developing nuclear weapons. If I were the leader of another country named in the axis of evil and I was developing nuclear weapons, I most definitely would have stepped up the process. That is exactly what both North Korea and Iran did.

In 2005 the moderate leadership in Iran was replaced by hard liner Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. In response to a perceived threat from the United States, Ahmadinejad accelerated Iran’s movement into the nuclear age. If they develop an atomic bomb, the nuclear nightmare we feared throughout the cold war may be realized.

I do not like to throw the Hitler analogy out there, but Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may very well be today’s Adolf Hitler. U.S. Mideast policy is responsible for his rise and we need to be sure he does not act on his stated ambitions.

There are some disturbing parallels between these two men. Parallels that should not, that must not be overlooked.

Both had taken a similar path to power. When Hitler first ascended he was not in charge. It was the intent of those that appointed him, through von Hindenburg, to keep him in check. Ahmadinejad is not in control, the Supreme Leader, the Ayatollah is the ruler.

Hitler used the treaty of Versailles to rally the German people. Ahmadinejad is using the U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq to rally his.

Hitler allied himself with charismatic, fascist leader Benito Mussolini. Ahmadinejad is allying himself with charismatic, socialist leader Hugo Chavez.

Hitler initially reached out to Russia. Ahmadinejad is reaching out to Russia.

Adolf Hitler held, and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad holds the view that Jews are an encroaching, expendable race. Hitler, in his book Mein Kampf, wrote of his hatred, racism and bigotry. Utilizing the final solution, he conceived and carried out the extermination of many Jews. Ahmadinejad has many times called for the elimination of Israel, the Jewish state, as the solution to the Mideast crisis.

Many in the English-speaking world attempted to appease Hitler so they would have had “peace in their time.” Many in the English-speaking world are calling for diplomacy to maintain peace with Ahmadinejad.

It would appear that Ahmadinejad has studied, and is following, Hitler’s path to power.

George W. Bush, as the WWI victor’s at Versailles brought about Hitler, has caused the emergence of Ahmadinejad.

We must keep a watchful eye on Iran and be ready, if necessary, to use overwhelming, precise and decisive disabling strikes. If we don’t, we could bear witness to a nuclear weapon falling into the hands of an enemy that will not be deterred by, but actually welcome, “mutually assured destruction.”

Joe Leonardi

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9 Comments

Filed under Axis of Evil, Conservative, Election, Evil, Iran, Iraq, Liberal, NeoCon, President Bush, Republican, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani, War

9 responses to “Iran — the next great threat

  1. I’ve been studying Iranian Government a lot latley, I wouldn’t be too worried about Iran. Ahmadinejad only won by a fluke and the guy who came in second, Rafsanjani, who is much more progressive and a reformist should of won, and is more representative of normative Iranian values.

    Luckily the Iranian president doesn’t have near the power one would expect, the major authortatiran power is witht he supreme leader. Rafsanjani has positined himself real well to become the next Supreme Leader, if this is the case I would hardly consider Iran comepletley irrational.

    Yes, Ahmadinejad is one crazy guy… but he’s kind of a joke even in Iran, he won cause several small extremist groups had no other choice.

    Iran, if you stydu how the taxes work and the general governemtn structure is for the most part as civilized a psuedo autoritarian government your gonna get. The way money moves it’s hard to really outright accuse Iran of funding terrorism, cause so many people have access to the money from so many varying spots on it’s political spectrum.

    Should we try to help Iran reform it’s government a little yes, but it’s government on the whole doesn’t need to be overthrown cause they elected a crazy presdient who has no real power.

    Their last president before him was super reformist.

    the president role really is just to give the illusion of democracy… it’s complicated.

  2. Hi Alex,

    I understand how complicated it is. The point I was attempting to make was that this has played out before. Everything you just described about the Iranian system was true about Germany pre-Hitler.
    Hitler was just a a thug. He didn’t have real power. The Nazi party was a fringe party. Hitler was not elected.

    Prior to the election, Ahmadinejad was given the blessing of the current supreme leader.

    Once a person is close to power, that person does not always give it up. Chavez is trying to overturn term limits. Putin is pushing to keep himself in power. There was Marco’s in the Phillipines. To not concern ourselves and not pay attention can be dangerous. To reflect on history to guide us is important.

    I would be very happy that you are right and I am not.

    I put this out there to make people very aware to keep an eye on Iran. If we don’t watch, history may repeat itself.

    Thank you for commenting and keep up the dialogue.

    Joe

  3. I’m really surprised you’re buying into this BS of Iran being the biggest threat to the US since Saddam. Ahmadinejad is not Hitler, Iran has many power centers that check his actions. And I’m not sure what history you are reading when you state “Hitler initially reached out to Russia.” Hitler came to power by blaming the Jews and Communists for Germany’s problems.

    As to nuclear weapons technology you can’t put the Genie back into the bottle. My question is why aren’t the war mongers more worried about Pakistan? That country is a coup away from a radical Islamic government. Osama is reported to be living there and the Taliban is reorganizing within it’s borders.

  4. Hi Gort,

    Hitler, sometime around 1940, signed a non aggression pact with Russia. It was, in Stalin’s mind, to benefit the USSR. But it gave Hitler time to amass his armies in preparation for a two front war.

    The problem with the “checks” in Iran, and I get a kick out of how many of us are experts to their power structure when the Ayatolla controls the media and everything else that comes out of the country, is that the Supreme Leader annointed the current president.

    I am not calling for an invasion. I used the word strike. Many people in the 1930’s buried their heads in the sand regarding Hitler. Hitler telegraphed many of his future actions and everyone ignored it until it was too late.

    Hitler was a master at using”peace” negotiations and “pacts” to buy time and catch others off guard. I am calling for us, not to get caught of guard. If Iran had developed a nuclear bomb, what would have stopped them from supplying Hezbollah?

    Our foreign policy has created a larger mess in the middle east, if we don’t keep an eye on the situation the price can be more severe than on Sept. 11.

    I hope I am very wrong and everyone else is right. Unfortunately history has never been on the side of the appeasers. Evil has a way of using the promise of the peace to keep Good in check. I don’t want war with Iran, but I don’t want a world where Iran has a nuclear bomb.

    Thanks for the comment and keep up the dialogue.

    Joe

  5. hass

    If anyone is similar to Hitler, it is Bush not Ahmadinejad. Under Iran’s constitutional system, Ahmadinejad isn’t even in charge of the military or the intelligence systems. Iran is a third-world power, with an economy the size of Finland’s. Germany under Hitler was a major industrial power. This is nonsense scaremongering. Ahmadinejad was smeared since the day he was elected – he hasn’t said anything any more crazy than our own president.
    Lets not forget – the US has explicitly threatened IRAN with nuclear attacks, not vice versa. We are the ones who claim a right to attack others. Not the Iranians. We helped Saddam with his chemical weapons. We shot down a civilian Iranian airliner inside Iranian airspace and then lied about it. We toppled their democratic government and installed the Shah.

    We are the threat.

  6. C Savage

    Iran has been our enemy since we deposed their democratically elected and pro-Soviet president in the late 50s and installed the Shah in his place-that same Shah that ruled in terror with his secret police for the next 25 or so years. The fact that there were ever any pro-American Iranians after that is a testament to the attractiveness of our ideals. I won’t even go into the fact one of the most repressive governments in the area continues to exist only with our continued support-the same government that financially supports al-Queda and serves the homeland of all 19 terrorists who struck on 9/11

  7. Wake Up

    I think that these days, GW Bush has many more similarities to Hitler than Ahmadinejad has. It is Bush that was not truly elected and is gradually and very carefully grasping for increasingly larger amounts of power, and using propaganda and fear against his own people as well as the rest of the world.

  8. Hi Wake Up,

    One thing about Bush not being truly elected. I am no Bush fan, but read my commentary on Al Gore. If Gore won his home state he would have been president.

    Thanks for commenting and keep up the dialogue.

    Joe

  9. Sweet post.
    I think you’ll link to our site..
    Thank you again

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